Friday, November 23, 2012

Happy Post-thanksgiving football picks!

  Ever since I was pretty young, I loved to mess around with statistics.  Especially when it comes to sports statistics.  A friend of mine came to me with a challenge to create a system in which it predicts the score of College Football games in the FBS.  I decided that it seemed like a good idea to give this a shot.  This inspired me to create the "Jimbo System". After countless (and I really do mean countless) hours, this is what I came up with.  While I will not divulge the secret formulas I've created during this process, I'll give you all a little predictions for what to expect on Friday in the world of college football.

P.S. How exciting is it that we get two Saturday's of college football this weekend? We have 14 games on Friday, in addition to the usual Saturday slate.

Get out the leftovers, turn on the tube and make sure and have your Jimbo guide to picks for the weekend!

Ohio @ Kent State (-9.5)
11 AM on ESPNU

In Friday's feast of games, the Bobcats head to Kent to take on the Golden flashes.  The Bobcats haven't been good against the spread this year, but Tyler Tettleton and the Bobcats are due for a closer game.


Rushing Passing Total
Kent State 248 162 410
Ohio 153 302 455


Jimbo Says! Kent State 35, Ohio 28. 


Syracuse (-7) @ Temple
11 AM on ESPN 2

Both of these teams have been hot the last few weeks.  Syracuse had a solid win over a decent Missouri squad while Temple put up 60+ on Army. Temple can seriously run the ball, so it'll be up to Cuse QB Ryan Nassib and that Syracuse offense to keep up.  Temple still has MAC talent, although it is now a member of the Big East, I think Cuse will out gain Temple and go for a decent win.


Rushing Passing Total
Temple 197 127 324
Cuse 209 344 553

Jimbo Says! Syracuse 35, Temple 24


Nebraska @ Iowa (+15)
12 PM on ABC

The Hawkeyes have not lived up to expectations, and you can likely expect that trend to continue in this one. Nebraska is one of the hottest bowl-eligible BCS teams and is hoping to carry a big win into the post-season.  The Cornhuskers should not struggle to move the ball.


Rushing Passing Total
Iowa 124 145 269
Nebraska 268 233 501


Jimbo Says! Nebraska 35, Iowa 17

Ball State @ Miami (OH) (+7.5)
1PM Not televised

All you followers of the MACtion will unlikely not get to see this one on TV.  But don't fret, you probably aren't missing out on much. If Ball State plays to its abilities and can limit the passing attack of Miami.  They should roll in this one.


Rushing Passing Total
Miami (OH) 100 339 440
Ball St 292 280 572

Ball State 48, Miami (OH) 28

N. Illinois @ E. Michigan
1 PM Not televised (Online at ESPN3)

Some more MACtion for all you MAC-followers out there! This one is online at ESPN 3, but will not be televised.  In what I deem the "Compass Battle" (NORTHERN Illinois vs EASTERN Michigan, get it?!), NIU should roll in this one.  I will admit sometimes the yardage numbers get a little inflated and my computers say that NIU will go over 300 yards rushing?  Every time I try to tell myself that won't happen, I start thinking about the defense of that Eagles team, and what the heck! Who knows.


Rushing Passing Total
E Michigan 146 180 326
NIU 344 232 576


NIU 49, EMU 17

Marshall @ East Carolina (-6)
2 PM on CBS

Touchdowns.  A lot of them.  The bigger news in this game is the petition that East Carolina has on the table to further split the Carolina States.  Could we have a third Carolina in the US?

Don't tell West Carolina.


Rushing Passing Total
ECU 172 261 432
Marshall 146 398 544

Marshall 42, ECU 41


Buffalo @ Bowling Green (-9.5)
2 PM, Online at ESPN 3

In another MAC-tastic match-up.  Buffalo heads to BG to take on the Falcons. The Bulls are a tough team for me to peg, but expect BG to cover the spread narrowly.


Rushing Passing Total
BGSU 156 186 342
Buffalo 151 155 306


Beer Guzzlers State University 24, Buffalo 14

LSU @ Arkansas (+11)
2:30 PM on CBS

What happened to the Razorbacks this season? Coming into the year there sure was a lot of hype surrounding this Arkansas team.  7 losses later, including an embarrassing loss to ULL, and Arkansas faces an imminent 8th against a solid Les Miles' coached team in the LSU Tigers.

LSU 38, Arkansas 17

Utah @ Colorado (+23.5)
3 PM on FX

Colorado is easily one of the worst teams I've watched play this season.  This is still a hard game to predict against the spread.  Utah has continued to be a letdown based upon the statistical projections that the system has given them.  We'll see what happens.  Will Colorado score? More importantly: They have football games on FX?  I was expecting to see Mark Wahlberg's shooter on the network at around 3 PM.  Oh well.


Rushing Passing Total
Colorado 90 170 261
Utah 184 221 405

Utah 42, Colorado 14


C. Michigan @ UMass (+11)
3 PM, Not televised

If you thought the horrible MAC words was over... you were correct. Because it's nearly 5 AM and I can't think of anymore words that start with MAC...  However, at 3 PM today, the MAC slate continues with a decent Central Michigan squad taking on one of the worst teams in FBS in UMass.

CMU 41, UMass 14

Washington @ Washington State (+13.5)
3:30 PM on Fox

A little rivalry action out of the PAC-12.  Mike Leech and his air attack offense for the Cougars seek their elusive third win of the year.  You know what they say: throw out the records in this rivalry! (I don't actually know if they say that about these two teams). Seriously, Washington probably covers, they've got a solid defense and the W. State program to me, seems in shambles at the moment.


Rushing Passing Total
Wash State 33 249 282
Washington 157 243 399

Washington 31, Washington State 14

West Virginia @ Iowa State (+1.5)
3:30 PM on ABC

I'm surprised West Virginia is the favorite in this game. Iowa State does seem to sometimes be overrated in the system though.  There low-turnover, good field position and defense seems to work well.  But what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object? West Virginia can surely move the ball around, but since Geno Smith has come back to earth this season, he has turned the ball over quite frequently. I see Iowa State winning this ball game albeit getting out gained heavily by the Mountaineers offense.


Rushing Passing Total
Iowa St 121 314 435
W Virginia 156 400 556


Iowa State 35, W. Virginia 31

South Florida @ Cincinnati ( -13.5)
7 PM on ESPN

Cincinnati is seriously spelled very oddly in my opinion.  This is a very well put spread and makes this a tough call.  The Bearcats are a solid football team and should win this game, but I don't think by more than 2 or 3 scores.


Rushing Passing Total
Cinci 189 258 446
S Florida 157 250 407

Cinci 31, USF 17

Arizona State @ Arizona (-2.5)
10 PM on ESPN

The system really likes Arizona State.  So do I.  This is an evenly matched rivalry game so it should be a close one.  It's tough for me to call, but I'd take A-State in this one.


Rushing Passing Total
Arizona 245 216 461
Ariz St 204 333 537

A State 42, Arizona 35


Well, that's all folks! Hope you enjoyed it. I'll be using my system to launch a top 25 ranking with in the next hour or so. Make sure and come back to check it out.

Thanks for reading :)






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