Hey, guys. Short post tonight with just statistics. Columbian looked a bit more impressive tonight and I'll probably post later in the week with my thoughts. Big showdown at Anthony Wayne next Friday.
Team Stats
Columbian:
Score: 17 PPG
Total Yards: 330 yards per game
Pass Yards:143 yards per game
Rush Yards: 187 yards per game
Turnovers: 2.5 Turnovers per game
Columbian's opponents:
Score: 10 PPG
Total Yards: 250.5 yards per game
Pass Yards: 110.5 yards per game
Rush Yards: 141 yards per game
Turnovers: 3 turnovers per game
Individual stats:
Columbian:
Passing- Stone Simmons (13-31, 41.9%, 286 yards, 2 TD 3 INT)
Rushing- Ryan Lynch 44 carries for 214 yards (107 yards per game, 4.9 yards per carry)
Spencer Franklin 24 carries for 142 yards (5.9 yards per carry)
Russ Yeast- 6 runs for 27 yards
Cliff Miller- 2 carries for 36 yards
Receiving- Nathan Hoyda 5 receptions for 143 yards, 2 TD, fumble
Russ Yeast III 3 receptions for 61 yards
Jeffrey Crawford 1 reception for 15 yards
Cody Kimmet 2 receptions for 41 yards
Derek Dryfuse 2 receptions for 26 yards
Other- Josh Briggs tallied an interception
Cliff Miller tallied an interception
Friday, September 6, 2013
Friday, August 30, 2013
Week 1: Clyde 13, Tiffin Columbian 7 quick reaction and stats
Hey, all! Welcome to another season of high school football. You know what that means! It's time for me to fire up the Jimbo Says! blog once again! I was down at Frost Kalnow for the first game of the season and the Tiffin Columbian Tornadoes and Clyde Fliers did not disappoint in week 1. These teams have a history that dates way back and Clyde made fewer mistakes on their way to a 13-7 victory.
The scoring started when Alex Marshall intercepted a Stone Simmons pass (it looked like a miscommunication with the receiver on a timing route) and took it back for a 66-yard touchdown. After that, TC answered and knotted the game up at seven after a 13-play drive ended on a beautifully thrown ball that Simmons delivered to Hoyda in the right corner of the end-zone for an eight-yard touchdown.
Clyde eventually broke the stalemate when Clyde's senior receiver Derek Gray beat the Columbian defense on a 41-yard TD reception.
Columbian threatened late on a 44 yard pitch and catch from Simmons to freshmen Russ Yeast III, but Yeast couldn't quite get behind the Clyde secondary and the game ended on another Simmons' incomplete toss.
Quick reaction
- Although Simmons was a mere 9-22 passing, the kid showed that he has the ability to make just about any throw on the field. He also came into the game and did not seem rattled. A couple of mistakes that are typical of a sophomore starting quarterback were made, but Simmons has arm talent that reminds of another recent TC QB, Ryan Tittle.
- Spencer Franklin is the #2 RB. Coming into this game, I was unsure of the depth that TC had at tailback. Franklin actually finished the game with 50 yards on just 9 carries. He has the acceleration to get through the hole and with this TC line, he should have a fairly successful year.
- TC misses its suspended players. Having a wildcat/scrambling threat at the QB position has been a staple of Brian Colatruglio's offense during his last three years at the helm for Columbian and not having that tonight truly hurt the offense. It looked predictable at times. Credit must be given to the Clyde defensive coaching staff, as they were packing the box with 7 and 8 players and daring young sophomore QB Stone Simmons to beat them. The impressive part is that Simmons nearly did it.
- I truly believe that some of the drops made by receivers early in the game may have played a bit into hurting Simmons' confidence and thus hurt his production in the second half. He started the second half going 1-9 with an interception.
- Russ Yeast is going to be a talented player for years to come. Now, Colatruglio and his staff just need to find a way to get him more touches. Today he only ended with two catches.
- That's all for now, plenty more to be talked about though as Columbian's 17-game home winning streak under Colatruglio was snapped tonight,
Team Stats
Columbian:
Score: 7
Total Yards: 289
Pass Yards:171
Rush Yards:118
Turnovers: 2
Clyde:
Score: 13
Total Yards: 266
Pass Yards: 93
Rush Yards: 173
Turnovers: 1
Individual stats:
Columbian:
Passing- Stone Simmons (9-22, 40.9%, 171 yards, 1 TD 2 INT)
Rushing- Ryan Lynch 19 carries for 68 yards
Spencer Franklin 9 carries for 50 yards
Receiving- Nathan Hoyda 4 receptions for 76 yards, 1 TD, fumble
Russ Yeast III 3 receptions for 61 yards
Jeffrey Crawford 2 receptions for 15 yards
Cody Kimmet 1 reception for 19 yards
Other- Josh Briggs tallied an interception
The scoring started when Alex Marshall intercepted a Stone Simmons pass (it looked like a miscommunication with the receiver on a timing route) and took it back for a 66-yard touchdown. After that, TC answered and knotted the game up at seven after a 13-play drive ended on a beautifully thrown ball that Simmons delivered to Hoyda in the right corner of the end-zone for an eight-yard touchdown.
Clyde eventually broke the stalemate when Clyde's senior receiver Derek Gray beat the Columbian defense on a 41-yard TD reception.
Columbian threatened late on a 44 yard pitch and catch from Simmons to freshmen Russ Yeast III, but Yeast couldn't quite get behind the Clyde secondary and the game ended on another Simmons' incomplete toss.
Quick reaction
- Although Simmons was a mere 9-22 passing, the kid showed that he has the ability to make just about any throw on the field. He also came into the game and did not seem rattled. A couple of mistakes that are typical of a sophomore starting quarterback were made, but Simmons has arm talent that reminds of another recent TC QB, Ryan Tittle.
- Spencer Franklin is the #2 RB. Coming into this game, I was unsure of the depth that TC had at tailback. Franklin actually finished the game with 50 yards on just 9 carries. He has the acceleration to get through the hole and with this TC line, he should have a fairly successful year.
- TC misses its suspended players. Having a wildcat/scrambling threat at the QB position has been a staple of Brian Colatruglio's offense during his last three years at the helm for Columbian and not having that tonight truly hurt the offense. It looked predictable at times. Credit must be given to the Clyde defensive coaching staff, as they were packing the box with 7 and 8 players and daring young sophomore QB Stone Simmons to beat them. The impressive part is that Simmons nearly did it.
- I truly believe that some of the drops made by receivers early in the game may have played a bit into hurting Simmons' confidence and thus hurt his production in the second half. He started the second half going 1-9 with an interception.
- Russ Yeast is going to be a talented player for years to come. Now, Colatruglio and his staff just need to find a way to get him more touches. Today he only ended with two catches.
- That's all for now, plenty more to be talked about though as Columbian's 17-game home winning streak under Colatruglio was snapped tonight,
Team Stats
Columbian:
Score: 7
Total Yards: 289
Pass Yards:171
Rush Yards:118
Turnovers: 2
Clyde:
Score: 13
Total Yards: 266
Pass Yards: 93
Rush Yards: 173
Turnovers: 1
Individual stats:
Columbian:
Passing- Stone Simmons (9-22, 40.9%, 171 yards, 1 TD 2 INT)
Rushing- Ryan Lynch 19 carries for 68 yards
Spencer Franklin 9 carries for 50 yards
Receiving- Nathan Hoyda 4 receptions for 76 yards, 1 TD, fumble
Russ Yeast III 3 receptions for 61 yards
Jeffrey Crawford 2 receptions for 15 yards
Cody Kimmet 1 reception for 19 yards
Other- Josh Briggs tallied an interception
Friday, June 14, 2013
Tiffin Columbian Football: Too Early Preview
There's only 77 days until the Tiffin Columbian Tornadoes kick off their football season at home against the Clyde Fliers.
But who's counting?
Here is a before two-a-days look at your Tornado team for this season! Make sure and check back on the site for our Tiffin Calvert preview and more information about the teams as we move closer to the season:
Last season ended in a familiar way for Columbian.
The Tornadoes
were bounced from the state playoffs in the regional quarterfinal round by
familiar foe, Avon High School. This marked the second time in as many years
that Avon was Columbian’s final opponent in the playoffs and the third time in
the last decade. That Columbian
team had plenty to hang their hats on, however, as they finished a perfect 10-0
during the regular season, tallying the program’s first undefeated season since
the Tornadoes joined the NOL in 1954. Columbian’s last undefeated season prior was
in 1918 when they went 2-0 under head coach John Hutchins.
The challenge for the Tornadoes in 2013 will be replacing seven players that helped contribute to an offense that averaged over 35 points per game. Replacing key players like first-team all-district member, Jack Jacoby, could prove to be a daunting task. The Tornadoes, though, have been known for their ability to re-load talent as opposed to rebuilding in the past 20+ years, as they’ve managed to win at least seven games in every season dating back to 1994.
Coach Steve Gilbert started the run in his second season as head coach in 1994 and he recorded a 137-44 record. Current head coach Brian Colatruglio took the helm in 2010 and has led the team to at least ten wins in each of his three seasons. Colatruglio’s record with the team is 32-6.
Columbian’s offense ranked second in the NOL last season, but more impressively their defense was first, giving up an average of 13.9 points per game. Senior all-district first teamer, Isiah Moore, will lead the Tornadoes on the defensive line. He will be helped my linebacker returnees Ryan Lynch and Jace Hurt.
Offensively, Lynch will shoulder more of the load, after averaging over six yards per carry last season and finishing with over 500 yards and six touchdowns. Donovan Walker is the frontrunner to move to quarterback and to take over the wildcat role that Jack Jacoby made famous the last two seasons. Walker had four-reception touchdowns and two on the ground on long runs. The offense will look similar to the way that it has in the past couple seasons and if some of the inexperienced players can step in, the Tornadoes just may be able to re-load once again to win their seventh NOL title in the last nine years.
Remember to come back in the near future to check out our Tiffin Calvert preview and some more information, news and interviews about both teams!
But who's counting?
Here is a before two-a-days look at your Tornado team for this season! Make sure and check back on the site for our Tiffin Calvert preview and more information about the teams as we move closer to the season:
Last season ended in a familiar way for Columbian.
The challenge for the Tornadoes in 2013 will be replacing seven players that helped contribute to an offense that averaged over 35 points per game. Replacing key players like first-team all-district member, Jack Jacoby, could prove to be a daunting task. The Tornadoes, though, have been known for their ability to re-load talent as opposed to rebuilding in the past 20+ years, as they’ve managed to win at least seven games in every season dating back to 1994.
Coach Steve Gilbert started the run in his second season as head coach in 1994 and he recorded a 137-44 record. Current head coach Brian Colatruglio took the helm in 2010 and has led the team to at least ten wins in each of his three seasons. Colatruglio’s record with the team is 32-6.
Columbian’s offense ranked second in the NOL last season, but more impressively their defense was first, giving up an average of 13.9 points per game. Senior all-district first teamer, Isiah Moore, will lead the Tornadoes on the defensive line. He will be helped my linebacker returnees Ryan Lynch and Jace Hurt.
Offensively, Lynch will shoulder more of the load, after averaging over six yards per carry last season and finishing with over 500 yards and six touchdowns. Donovan Walker is the frontrunner to move to quarterback and to take over the wildcat role that Jack Jacoby made famous the last two seasons. Walker had four-reception touchdowns and two on the ground on long runs. The offense will look similar to the way that it has in the past couple seasons and if some of the inexperienced players can step in, the Tornadoes just may be able to re-load once again to win their seventh NOL title in the last nine years.
Remember to come back in the near future to check out our Tiffin Calvert preview and some more information, news and interviews about both teams!
Friday, May 31, 2013
My new project!
Hey, everyone!
How are you? Long time, no see! But it's good to see that you've found your way to my page.
I have one request and that is that you check out my new project http://clevelandindianstalk.blogspot.com .
When Football season comes back around though you can expect all of the latest news, stats and information right back here on Jimbo Says!
Have a great summer!
How are you? Long time, no see! But it's good to see that you've found your way to my page.
I have one request and that is that you check out my new project http://clevelandindianstalk.blogspot.com .
When Football season comes back around though you can expect all of the latest news, stats and information right back here on Jimbo Says!
Have a great summer!
Monday, December 10, 2012
2nd-Annual College Football Playoff What If?
Hello, fans. How are you all doing? I hope you're doing well! We're getting close to bowl season, as the first couple games will be kicking off within a week. First off, I'd encourage you all to join my Bowl Pick 'Em at ESPN.COM : http://games.espn.go.com/college-bowl-mania/en/group?groupID=19772 . Good luck if you decide to come and take me on in the bowl picks!
With the most wonderful time of the year upon us in College Football, each season I like to re-imagine College Football's post-season as a 16 or 32 playoff team extravaganza. Last year I posted what would happen based upon simulations of Whatifsports.com . This year I'll be using a mixture of my own simulation engine and the numbers from What If Sports to decide who would win each game and who will move on to the next round.
First off let's establish what the bracket might look like in a 16 team playoff.
-Each Conference winner gets a bid.
-The rest would be seeded based upon BCS ranking.
- Sadly, Ohio State and Penn State will not be eligible.
- Sorry SEC, there is a maximum of 3 teams from 1 conference.
Overall Seeding:
1. Notre Dame
2. Alabama
3. Florida
4. Oregon
5. Kansas State
6. Stanford
7. Georgia
8. Oklahoma
9. Florida State
10. Northern Illinois
11. Boise State
12. Louisville
13. Utah State
14. Wisconsin
15. Tulsa
16. Arkansas State
Creating first round match-ups as follows: (The first round would be home games)
(16) Arkansas State @ (1) Notre Dame
(15) Tulsa @ (2) Alabama
(14) Wisconsin @ (3) Florida
(13) Utah State @ (4) Oregon
(12) Louisville @ (5) Kansas State
(11) Boise State @ (6) Stanford
(10) Northern Illinois @ (7) Georgia
(9) Florida State @ (8) Oklahoma
These would be some seriously intriguing match-ups! Let's see what we predict would happen!
Notre Dame 34, Ark State 9
Coming into this match-up, not many gave the champions of the Sun Belt much of a chance against a juggernaut of a Notre Dame defense. Pundits proved to be right on as Notre Dame took control early in this one. The Irish were led by Theo Riddick, who had 24 carries for 100 yards. QB Everett Gholson had a decent day passing with 2 TD's, including a 3-yard strike to TE Tyler Eiffert. Arkansas State actually scored first with a FG early, but never led again.
Alabam 39, Tulsa 3
The Crimson Tide showed once again why they are one of the most dominating teams in the country with a very convincing win over Tulsa, the champions of Conference USA. The Tide had 2 rushers go over the 100 yard mark as Lacy rushed for 152 yards while Yeldon also had 110 and a TD.
Florida 37, Wisconsin 18
Some pundits believed the Badgers had a shot in this game. They came in with 5 losses on the season already, but were just coming off of a 70-24 smashing of Nebraska in the Big Ten Championship game. Unfortunately though, Florida was just too much for the Badgers in this one. Florida took first blood by scoring with 4:24 remaining in the first on a Mike Gillislee TD scamper. The Gators never looked back after that, leading 28-10 at halftime. The Gators slowed Montee Ball to his worst performance of the year, the Sr. RB had only 35 yards on 24 carries.
Oregon 28, Utah State 10
Utah State brought some hope into this game. The champions of the WAC came into the game with a 10-2 record but may have had one of the tougher draws of the tournament thus far though. Kenjon Barner, Deanthony Thomas and Marcus Mariota was just too much on the ground for the Aggies. The Ducks were led by RB Barner, who had 198 yards and 2 TD runs.
Louisville 6, Kansas State 36
Although Kansas State QB Collin Klein wasn't able to bring home the Heisman trophy, it didn't slow him and his Wildcats down on a quest for the National Championship trophy. Louisville was no match for the Wildcats, who were led by a very tough defensive effort. Klein completed all three of his passes for a total of 71 yards, and also ran for a TD.
Boise State 7, Stanford 31
In another match-up that proved to be more hype than real excitement, Stanford smashed Boise State. The Cardinal were led by Stephan Taylor at RB, who had 31 carries for 197 yards.
Northern Illinois 16, Georgia 13
NIU QB Jordan Lynch was one of the most phenomenal players not only in the MAC, but in the nation this past season in College Football. And a tough draw in round 1 of this year's playoffs made many believe the cinderella story would come to an end. This was not true, however. As Lynch led his Huskies to an upset over the Bulldogs in round 1. Lynch's late 4th quarter TD run, and inspired play by the young defense led to the biggest upset in Jimbo Says! college football playoff history.
Oklahoma 34, Florida State 24
In our second upset of the first round, Oklahoma QB Landry Jones gave a very gutsy performance, despite his 2 INTs, he also threw 2 TD's leading to an upset of the Seminoles.
Here is a look at our upcoming Round 2 match-ups! I'll be posting the results in the next few days!
Elite Eight Pairings!
(1) Notre Dame vs (8) Oklahoma
(4) Oregon vs (5) Kansas State
(2) Alabama vs (10) Northern Illinois
(3) Florida vs (6) Stanford
With the most wonderful time of the year upon us in College Football, each season I like to re-imagine College Football's post-season as a 16 or 32 playoff team extravaganza. Last year I posted what would happen based upon simulations of Whatifsports.com . This year I'll be using a mixture of my own simulation engine and the numbers from What If Sports to decide who would win each game and who will move on to the next round.
First off let's establish what the bracket might look like in a 16 team playoff.
-Each Conference winner gets a bid.
-The rest would be seeded based upon BCS ranking.
- Sadly, Ohio State and Penn State will not be eligible.
- Sorry SEC, there is a maximum of 3 teams from 1 conference.
Overall Seeding:
1. Notre Dame
2. Alabama
3. Florida
4. Oregon
5. Kansas State
6. Stanford
7. Georgia
8. Oklahoma
9. Florida State
10. Northern Illinois
11. Boise State
12. Louisville
13. Utah State
14. Wisconsin
15. Tulsa
16. Arkansas State
Creating first round match-ups as follows: (The first round would be home games)
(16) Arkansas State @ (1) Notre Dame
(15) Tulsa @ (2) Alabama
(14) Wisconsin @ (3) Florida
(13) Utah State @ (4) Oregon
(12) Louisville @ (5) Kansas State
(11) Boise State @ (6) Stanford
(10) Northern Illinois @ (7) Georgia
(9) Florida State @ (8) Oklahoma
These would be some seriously intriguing match-ups! Let's see what we predict would happen!
Notre Dame 34, Ark State 9
Coming into this match-up, not many gave the champions of the Sun Belt much of a chance against a juggernaut of a Notre Dame defense. Pundits proved to be right on as Notre Dame took control early in this one. The Irish were led by Theo Riddick, who had 24 carries for 100 yards. QB Everett Gholson had a decent day passing with 2 TD's, including a 3-yard strike to TE Tyler Eiffert. Arkansas State actually scored first with a FG early, but never led again.
Alabam 39, Tulsa 3
The Crimson Tide showed once again why they are one of the most dominating teams in the country with a very convincing win over Tulsa, the champions of Conference USA. The Tide had 2 rushers go over the 100 yard mark as Lacy rushed for 152 yards while Yeldon also had 110 and a TD.
Florida 37, Wisconsin 18
Some pundits believed the Badgers had a shot in this game. They came in with 5 losses on the season already, but were just coming off of a 70-24 smashing of Nebraska in the Big Ten Championship game. Unfortunately though, Florida was just too much for the Badgers in this one. Florida took first blood by scoring with 4:24 remaining in the first on a Mike Gillislee TD scamper. The Gators never looked back after that, leading 28-10 at halftime. The Gators slowed Montee Ball to his worst performance of the year, the Sr. RB had only 35 yards on 24 carries.
Oregon 28, Utah State 10
Utah State brought some hope into this game. The champions of the WAC came into the game with a 10-2 record but may have had one of the tougher draws of the tournament thus far though. Kenjon Barner, Deanthony Thomas and Marcus Mariota was just too much on the ground for the Aggies. The Ducks were led by RB Barner, who had 198 yards and 2 TD runs.
Louisville 6, Kansas State 36
Although Kansas State QB Collin Klein wasn't able to bring home the Heisman trophy, it didn't slow him and his Wildcats down on a quest for the National Championship trophy. Louisville was no match for the Wildcats, who were led by a very tough defensive effort. Klein completed all three of his passes for a total of 71 yards, and also ran for a TD.
Boise State 7, Stanford 31
In another match-up that proved to be more hype than real excitement, Stanford smashed Boise State. The Cardinal were led by Stephan Taylor at RB, who had 31 carries for 197 yards.
Northern Illinois 16, Georgia 13
NIU QB Jordan Lynch was one of the most phenomenal players not only in the MAC, but in the nation this past season in College Football. And a tough draw in round 1 of this year's playoffs made many believe the cinderella story would come to an end. This was not true, however. As Lynch led his Huskies to an upset over the Bulldogs in round 1. Lynch's late 4th quarter TD run, and inspired play by the young defense led to the biggest upset in Jimbo Says! college football playoff history.
Oklahoma 34, Florida State 24
In our second upset of the first round, Oklahoma QB Landry Jones gave a very gutsy performance, despite his 2 INTs, he also threw 2 TD's leading to an upset of the Seminoles.
Here is a look at our upcoming Round 2 match-ups! I'll be posting the results in the next few days!
Elite Eight Pairings!
(1) Notre Dame vs (8) Oklahoma
(4) Oregon vs (5) Kansas State
(2) Alabama vs (10) Northern Illinois
(3) Florida vs (6) Stanford
Wednesday, November 28, 2012
Ohio State 2002 Defense vs Notre Dame 2012 Defense
2012 Irish D or the 2002 Silver Bullets?
All season this year, I've been in the camp of the Notre Dame Fightin' Irish. I'm a stat guy, and this team has walked the walk statistically on the defensive side of the ball. This is the most efficient football team based on Jimbo's Defense Rating that I devised this season. It's absolutely been a special season and I have recognized that since pretty early on. The Irish have a quality of being able to win games, even when they don't play to the best of their ability. It certainly reminds of a Craig Krenzel-led Buckeye Squad that took home the crystal football. The Irish will have their chance in early 2013 to match that Ohio State team and win another National Title for its storied program. Until then however, there are a lot of interesting discussions to be had. Stay tuned to Jimbo Says! for other pieces similar to this one. I'll probably be writing a prediction of Ohio State vs Notre Dame if they played this year as well as how a possible playoff system would go down.
Let's start off with the ND defense of this year. They certainly pass the look-test. Led by Senior LB Manti T'eo, the Irish have been nothing short of dominant throughout the season. Allowing only 6 points to Michigan, 13 to Stanford, 13 to Oklahoma and only 13 to USC. Coming into the season, this team's strength of schedule was hailed as one of the toughest in the country. While it still undoubtedly remains top-25 in the country, with the disappointing seasons of Oklahoma, USC, Michigan and Michigan State, it seemed to take away a little luster from the Irish schedule. Here are some of the key stats for the ND Defense:
| ND Defense | ||
| Rush Yds | 92.42 | (5th) |
| Pass Yds | 194.83 | (22nd) |
| Total Yds | 287.25 | (6th) |
| Points | 10.33 | (2nd) |
Even at first glance, this ND team was extremely impressive on the defensive side of the ball. Team's that they played against averaged the following on offense:
| ND's Opponent's offense average | |
| Rush Off | 158.49 |
| Pass Off | 240.29 |
| PPG | 24.5 |
The Irish were unbelievable at shutting team's offenses down and keeping them below their season averages. Still, Notre Dame was not the most opportunistic team in the country when it came to forcing turnovers.
| ND Defense | ||
| Sacks | 33 | (19th) |
| INT | 16 | (T-14th) |
| Fumbles rec. | 7 | |
| Takeaways | 23 | (T-37th) |
Still, maybe the most staggering statistic and the strong point of the Notre Dame defense was their Red Zone defense. This was epitomized by their multiple goal line stands against USC last weekend. Here are some of the key stats:
| ND Defense in the Red Zone | ||
| % of scores | 64.00% | 5th |
| RZ points | 95 | |
| RZ Drives | 33 | |
| RZ Tds | 8 | |
| RZ Fgs | 13 | |
| Rush TD Allowed | 2 | |
| Pass TD Allowed | 7 |
The 2 Rush TD allowed all season is absolutely unbelievable.
These Ohio State Buckeyes passed the look test as well. There were many future NFL players on this unit, including: LB Matt Wilhelm, S Mike Doss, DT Kenny Peterson, LB Cie Grant, DE Will Smith, CB Chris Gamble as well as young LB's Bobby Carpenter and A.J. Hawk. The Buckeyes run defense was unbelievable that season, but let's take a look at the numbers a little closer:
| OSU 2002 Defense | ||
| Rush Yds | 77.7 | (3rd) |
| Pass Yds | 243.1 | (95th) |
| Total Yds | 320.8 | (23rd) |
| Points | 13.1 | (2nd) |
Although the NCAA didn't record the sacks on this team, you can bet they were top 10 in the country in it with players like Will Smith and Kenny Peterson on the defensive line:
| Sacks | NCAA didn't archive this, but it was very high | |
| INT | 18 | (23rd) |
| Fumbles rec. | 12 | (53rd) |
| Takeaways | 30 | (33rd) |
Ohio State's Red Zone statistics from that season are also not available, but here are a few other misc. stats.
| Rush TD Allowed | 5 | (1st) |
| Pass TD Allowed | 14 | (T-8th) |
| Total TD Allowed | 19 | (T-1st) |
Side by side comparison of both teams:
| Rush Yds | Rush Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Total Yds | Total Tds | Points/ Gm | Takeaways | |
| ND | 92.42 | 2 | 194.83 | 7 | 287.25 | 9 | 10.33 | 23 |
| Ohio State | 77.7 | 5 | 243.1 | 14 | 320.8 | 19 | 13.1 | 30 |
So as you can see, ND seems to be a little bit better statistically. Of course you must factor in strength of schedule and that's difficult to do. Also, Ohio State ranked really well in 2002 in many of these, but it was a different year statistically for ND in 2012. This is exemplified here:
| National Rank | ||||||||
| Rush Yds | Rush Tds | Pass Yds | Pass Tds | Total Yds | Total Tds | Points/ Gm | Takeaways | |
| ND | 5th | 1st | 22nd | 5th | 6th | 1st | 2nd | T-38th |
| Ohio State | 3rd | 1st | 95th | T-8th | 23rd | T-1st | 2nd | T-33rd |
So if you look at it based on how these teams fit into their respective seasons, it changes things a little bit! In my opinion, these two units are extremely similar, but I have to give a slight edge to the Irish this year because they are better against the pass and are unbelievably stout in the Red Zone. Ohio State was a little bit more opportunistic with turnovers, but these are 2 top-15 defenses of the last decade, any way you split this. They can prove it all wrong or correct in the National Championship game this year on January 7, 2013!
Friday, November 23, 2012
Jimbo Says! NCAAF Rankings
This all based off of statistical analysis. I created a strength of schedule formula and an offensive and defensive efficiency formula. Mashed them together and sampled 20 teams. Here is how they ranked out:
Surprise team for me was Utah State. They have 2 narrow losses to Wisconsin and BYU, but statistically are one of the top 5 teams in the country.
| 1 | Florida | 4.21 | 1 | 3.21 |
| 2 | ND | 2.87 | 0 | 2.87 |
| 3 | Alabama | 3.51 | 1 | 2.51 |
| 4 | Ohio State | 0.67 | 0 | 0.67 |
| 5 | Georgia | 0.98 | 1 | -0.02 |
| 6 | Texas A and M | 1.98 | 2 | -0.02 |
| 7 | Kansas St. | 0.91 | 1 | -0.09 |
| 8 | Clemson | 0.72 | 1 | -0.28 |
| 9 | Oregon | 0.67 | 1 | -0.33 |
| 10 | FSU | 0.52 | 1 | -0.48 |
| 11 | South Car | 1.51 | 2 | -0.49 |
| 12 | Stanford | 1.51 | 2 | -0.49 |
| 13 | Rutgers | 0.43 | 1 | -0.57 |
| 14 | Utah State | 2.21 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 15 | Oregon State | 1.34 | 2 | -0.66 |
| 16 | Cinci | 2.09 | 3 | -0.91 |
| 17 | NIU | 0.07 | 1 | -0.93 |
| 18 | Boise | 0.47 | 2 | -1.53 |
| 19 | Nebraska | 0.33 | 2 | -1.67 |
| 20 | Miss State | 1.08 | 3 | -1.92 |
Surprise team for me was Utah State. They have 2 narrow losses to Wisconsin and BYU, but statistically are one of the top 5 teams in the country.
Happy Post-thanksgiving football picks!
Ever since I was pretty young, I loved to mess around with statistics. Especially when it comes to sports statistics. A friend of mine came to me with a challenge to create a system in which it predicts the score of College Football games in the FBS. I decided that it seemed like a good idea to give this a shot. This inspired me to create the "Jimbo System". After countless (and I really do mean countless) hours, this is what I came up with. While I will not divulge the secret formulas I've created during this process, I'll give you all a little predictions for what to expect on Friday in the world of college football.
P.S. How exciting is it that we get two Saturday's of college football this weekend? We have 14 games on Friday, in addition to the usual Saturday slate.
Get out the leftovers, turn on the tube and make sure and have your Jimbo guide to picks for the weekend!
Ohio @ Kent State (-9.5)
11 AM on ESPNU
In Friday's feast of games, the Bobcats head to Kent to take on the Golden flashes. The Bobcats haven't been good against the spread this year, but Tyler Tettleton and the Bobcats are due for a closer game.
Jimbo Says! Kent State 35, Ohio 28.
Syracuse (-7) @ Temple
11 AM on ESPN 2
Both of these teams have been hot the last few weeks. Syracuse had a solid win over a decent Missouri squad while Temple put up 60+ on Army. Temple can seriously run the ball, so it'll be up to Cuse QB Ryan Nassib and that Syracuse offense to keep up. Temple still has MAC talent, although it is now a member of the Big East, I think Cuse will out gain Temple and go for a decent win.
Jimbo Says! Syracuse 35, Temple 24
Nebraska @ Iowa (+15)
12 PM on ABC
The Hawkeyes have not lived up to expectations, and you can likely expect that trend to continue in this one. Nebraska is one of the hottest bowl-eligible BCS teams and is hoping to carry a big win into the post-season. The Cornhuskers should not struggle to move the ball.
Jimbo Says! Nebraska 35, Iowa 17
Ball State @ Miami (OH) (+7.5)
1PM Not televised
All you followers of the MACtion will unlikely not get to see this one on TV. But don't fret, you probably aren't missing out on much. If Ball State plays to its abilities and can limit the passing attack of Miami. They should roll in this one.
Ball State 48, Miami (OH) 28
N. Illinois @ E. Michigan
1 PM Not televised (Online at ESPN3)
Some more MACtion for all you MAC-followers out there! This one is online at ESPN 3, but will not be televised. In what I deem the "Compass Battle" (NORTHERN Illinois vs EASTERN Michigan, get it?!), NIU should roll in this one. I will admit sometimes the yardage numbers get a little inflated and my computers say that NIU will go over 300 yards rushing? Every time I try to tell myself that won't happen, I start thinking about the defense of that Eagles team, and what the heck! Who knows.
NIU 49, EMU 17
Marshall @ East Carolina (-6)
2 PM on CBS
Touchdowns. A lot of them. The bigger news in this game is the petition that East Carolina has on the table to further split the Carolina States. Could we have a third Carolina in the US?
Don't tell West Carolina.
Marshall 42, ECU 41
Buffalo @ Bowling Green (-9.5)
2 PM, Online at ESPN 3
In another MAC-tastic match-up. Buffalo heads to BG to take on the Falcons. The Bulls are a tough team for me to peg, but expect BG to cover the spread narrowly.
Beer Guzzlers State University 24, Buffalo 14
LSU @ Arkansas (+11)
2:30 PM on CBS
What happened to the Razorbacks this season? Coming into the year there sure was a lot of hype surrounding this Arkansas team. 7 losses later, including an embarrassing loss to ULL, and Arkansas faces an imminent 8th against a solid Les Miles' coached team in the LSU Tigers.
LSU 38, Arkansas 17
Utah @ Colorado (+23.5)
3 PM on FX
Colorado is easily one of the worst teams I've watched play this season. This is still a hard game to predict against the spread. Utah has continued to be a letdown based upon the statistical projections that the system has given them. We'll see what happens. Will Colorado score? More importantly: They have football games on FX? I was expecting to see Mark Wahlberg's shooter on the network at around 3 PM. Oh well.
Utah 42, Colorado 14
C. Michigan @ UMass (+11)
3 PM, Not televised
If you thought the horrible MAC words was over... you were correct. Because it's nearly 5 AM and I can't think of anymore words that start with MAC... However, at 3 PM today, the MAC slate continues with a decent Central Michigan squad taking on one of the worst teams in FBS in UMass.
CMU 41, UMass 14
Washington @ Washington State (+13.5)
3:30 PM on Fox
A little rivalry action out of the PAC-12. Mike Leech and his air attack offense for the Cougars seek their elusive third win of the year. You know what they say: throw out the records in this rivalry! (I don't actually know if they say that about these two teams). Seriously, Washington probably covers, they've got a solid defense and the W. State program to me, seems in shambles at the moment.
Washington 31, Washington State 14
West Virginia @ Iowa State (+1.5)
3:30 PM on ABC
I'm surprised West Virginia is the favorite in this game. Iowa State does seem to sometimes be overrated in the system though. There low-turnover, good field position and defense seems to work well. But what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object? West Virginia can surely move the ball around, but since Geno Smith has come back to earth this season, he has turned the ball over quite frequently. I see Iowa State winning this ball game albeit getting out gained heavily by the Mountaineers offense.
Iowa State 35, W. Virginia 31
South Florida @ Cincinnati ( -13.5)
7 PM on ESPN
Cincinnati is seriously spelled very oddly in my opinion. This is a very well put spread and makes this a tough call. The Bearcats are a solid football team and should win this game, but I don't think by more than 2 or 3 scores.
Cinci 31, USF 17
Arizona State @ Arizona (-2.5)
10 PM on ESPN
The system really likes Arizona State. So do I. This is an evenly matched rivalry game so it should be a close one. It's tough for me to call, but I'd take A-State in this one.
A State 42, Arizona 35
Well, that's all folks! Hope you enjoyed it. I'll be using my system to launch a top 25 ranking with in the next hour or so. Make sure and come back to check it out.
Thanks for reading :)
P.S. How exciting is it that we get two Saturday's of college football this weekend? We have 14 games on Friday, in addition to the usual Saturday slate.
Get out the leftovers, turn on the tube and make sure and have your Jimbo guide to picks for the weekend!
Ohio @ Kent State (-9.5)
11 AM on ESPNU
In Friday's feast of games, the Bobcats head to Kent to take on the Golden flashes. The Bobcats haven't been good against the spread this year, but Tyler Tettleton and the Bobcats are due for a closer game.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| Kent State | 248 | 162 | 410 |
| Ohio | 153 | 302 | 455 |
Jimbo Says! Kent State 35, Ohio 28.
Syracuse (-7) @ Temple
11 AM on ESPN 2
Both of these teams have been hot the last few weeks. Syracuse had a solid win over a decent Missouri squad while Temple put up 60+ on Army. Temple can seriously run the ball, so it'll be up to Cuse QB Ryan Nassib and that Syracuse offense to keep up. Temple still has MAC talent, although it is now a member of the Big East, I think Cuse will out gain Temple and go for a decent win.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| Temple | 197 | 127 | 324 |
| Cuse | 209 | 344 | 553 |
Jimbo Says! Syracuse 35, Temple 24
Nebraska @ Iowa (+15)
12 PM on ABC
The Hawkeyes have not lived up to expectations, and you can likely expect that trend to continue in this one. Nebraska is one of the hottest bowl-eligible BCS teams and is hoping to carry a big win into the post-season. The Cornhuskers should not struggle to move the ball.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| Iowa | 124 | 145 | 269 |
| Nebraska | 268 | 233 | 501 |
Jimbo Says! Nebraska 35, Iowa 17
Ball State @ Miami (OH) (+7.5)
1PM Not televised
All you followers of the MACtion will unlikely not get to see this one on TV. But don't fret, you probably aren't missing out on much. If Ball State plays to its abilities and can limit the passing attack of Miami. They should roll in this one.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| Miami (OH) | 100 | 339 | 440 |
| Ball St | 292 | 280 | 572 |
Ball State 48, Miami (OH) 28
N. Illinois @ E. Michigan
1 PM Not televised (Online at ESPN3)
Some more MACtion for all you MAC-followers out there! This one is online at ESPN 3, but will not be televised. In what I deem the "Compass Battle" (NORTHERN Illinois vs EASTERN Michigan, get it?!), NIU should roll in this one. I will admit sometimes the yardage numbers get a little inflated and my computers say that NIU will go over 300 yards rushing? Every time I try to tell myself that won't happen, I start thinking about the defense of that Eagles team, and what the heck! Who knows.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| E Michigan | 146 | 180 | 326 |
| NIU | 344 | 232 | 576 |
NIU 49, EMU 17
Marshall @ East Carolina (-6)
2 PM on CBS
Touchdowns. A lot of them. The bigger news in this game is the petition that East Carolina has on the table to further split the Carolina States. Could we have a third Carolina in the US?
Don't tell West Carolina.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| ECU | 172 | 261 | 432 |
| Marshall | 146 | 398 | 544 |
Marshall 42, ECU 41
Buffalo @ Bowling Green (-9.5)
2 PM, Online at ESPN 3
In another MAC-tastic match-up. Buffalo heads to BG to take on the Falcons. The Bulls are a tough team for me to peg, but expect BG to cover the spread narrowly.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| BGSU | 156 | 186 | 342 |
| Buffalo | 151 | 155 | 306 |
Beer Guzzlers State University 24, Buffalo 14
LSU @ Arkansas (+11)
2:30 PM on CBS
What happened to the Razorbacks this season? Coming into the year there sure was a lot of hype surrounding this Arkansas team. 7 losses later, including an embarrassing loss to ULL, and Arkansas faces an imminent 8th against a solid Les Miles' coached team in the LSU Tigers.
LSU 38, Arkansas 17
Utah @ Colorado (+23.5)
3 PM on FX
Colorado is easily one of the worst teams I've watched play this season. This is still a hard game to predict against the spread. Utah has continued to be a letdown based upon the statistical projections that the system has given them. We'll see what happens. Will Colorado score? More importantly: They have football games on FX? I was expecting to see Mark Wahlberg's shooter on the network at around 3 PM. Oh well.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| Colorado | 90 | 170 | 261 |
| Utah | 184 | 221 | 405 |
Utah 42, Colorado 14
C. Michigan @ UMass (+11)
3 PM, Not televised
If you thought the horrible MAC words was over... you were correct. Because it's nearly 5 AM and I can't think of anymore words that start with MAC... However, at 3 PM today, the MAC slate continues with a decent Central Michigan squad taking on one of the worst teams in FBS in UMass.
CMU 41, UMass 14
Washington @ Washington State (+13.5)
3:30 PM on Fox
A little rivalry action out of the PAC-12. Mike Leech and his air attack offense for the Cougars seek their elusive third win of the year. You know what they say: throw out the records in this rivalry! (I don't actually know if they say that about these two teams). Seriously, Washington probably covers, they've got a solid defense and the W. State program to me, seems in shambles at the moment.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| Wash State | 33 | 249 | 282 |
| Washington | 157 | 243 | 399 |
Washington 31, Washington State 14
West Virginia @ Iowa State (+1.5)
3:30 PM on ABC
I'm surprised West Virginia is the favorite in this game. Iowa State does seem to sometimes be overrated in the system though. There low-turnover, good field position and defense seems to work well. But what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object? West Virginia can surely move the ball around, but since Geno Smith has come back to earth this season, he has turned the ball over quite frequently. I see Iowa State winning this ball game albeit getting out gained heavily by the Mountaineers offense.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| Iowa St | 121 | 314 | 435 |
| W Virginia | 156 | 400 | 556 |
Iowa State 35, W. Virginia 31
South Florida @ Cincinnati ( -13.5)
7 PM on ESPN
Cincinnati is seriously spelled very oddly in my opinion. This is a very well put spread and makes this a tough call. The Bearcats are a solid football team and should win this game, but I don't think by more than 2 or 3 scores.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| Cinci | 189 | 258 | 446 |
| S Florida | 157 | 250 | 407 |
Cinci 31, USF 17
Arizona State @ Arizona (-2.5)
10 PM on ESPN
The system really likes Arizona State. So do I. This is an evenly matched rivalry game so it should be a close one. It's tough for me to call, but I'd take A-State in this one.
| Rushing | Passing | Total | |
| Arizona | 245 | 216 | 461 |
| Ariz St | 204 | 333 | 537 |
A State 42, Arizona 35
Well, that's all folks! Hope you enjoyed it. I'll be using my system to launch a top 25 ranking with in the next hour or so. Make sure and come back to check it out.
Thanks for reading :)
Friday, October 26, 2012
TC vs Norwalk + Playoff Tidbits
Hello all! Here are a few unofficial stats for the Tornadoes, some info on tonight's match-up vs Norwalk and some playoff tidbits for some area teams!
Tiffin Columbian
Unofficial 2012 Statistics: (NOL Rank)
Points Per Game: 35.7 (3rd)
Points Allowed Per Game: 13.9 (2nd)
Total Yards Per Game: 364
Rush Yards Per Game: 236
Pass Yards Per Game: 128
Notable Performers:
Michael Rohrbach: over 1000 yards on 15 TDs and 7 INT. (55%
completion)
Jack Jacoby: 1200 yards Rushing and 15 TDs
Ryan Lynch: 540 yards rushing and 6 TDs
Jordan Dye: 28 Catches for over 400 yards, 7 TDs
Donovan Walker: Threat on trick plays to run the ball, 2
rushing TDs and 4 Reception TDs.
Great play by the offensive line all season long.
NOL Standings
|
||||
Week 9 Northern Ohio League Standings
|
||||
Team
|
Wins
|
Losses
|
PF
|
PA
|
TC
|
9
|
0
|
321
|
125
|
Bellevue
|
8
|
1
|
366
|
105
|
Norwalk
|
7
|
2
|
343
|
167
|
Willard
|
4
|
5
|
134
|
171
|
Sandusky
|
3
|
6
|
136
|
303
|
Shelby
|
1
|
8
|
112
|
276
|
Playoff Scenarios: Division 2 Region 6 (Bolded are familiar
teams)
Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) 100%
Central Catholic (Toledo) 100%
Avon 100%
Columbian (Tiffin) 100%
Westlake 99%
Midview (Grafton) 99%
Perrysburg 92%
Highland (Medina) 70%
Madison Comprehensive (Mansfield) 34%
Norwalk 3%
(Must win to even have a chance to get in!!)
TC Tidbits: (Special thanks to fantastic50.net)
-
If TC wins
tonight, they would clinch home-field advantage for week 1 of the postseason.
-
Even with a TC
loss, still a 99% chance of a home game.
-
With a TC win
they would likely be the first or second seed, with a loss they would fall
between 2-5.
-
1st round
opponents: Highland (Medina) 36%, Midview (Grafton) 20%, Perrysburg 12%,
Westlake 12%, Mansfield Senior (Mansfield) 10%
-
With a Columbian
win and Toledo Whitmer victory over Toledo Central Catholic, that guarantees
Tiffin Columbian the #1 seed in Division 2 Region 6
-
With a victory
tonight, this would mark the 1st undefeated season since 1987 for
the Tornadoes.
-
TC has already
clinched at least a share of the NOL title. Their 10th NOL title in
the last 12 years
-
List of all time
leaders of NOL champions:
Bellevue 23
Shelby 20
TC 19
Galion 9
Willard & Upper 5
Bucyrus 4
Fostoria & Norwalk 2
Sandusky 1
Other NOL schools in action tonight:
Willard (4-5) @ Shelby (1-8)
Bellevue (8-1) @ Sandusky
(3-6)
Other notable games for playoff implications: (Bolded
are teams who make playoffs with a victory tonight in D2 R6) (Underlined are teams who have already clinched their
playoff berth):
Toledo
Whitmer (9-0) @ Toledo Central Catholic (9-0)
Mansfield Senior (8-1) @
Mansfield Madison (8-1)
Westlake (8-1) @ Brecksville-Broadview Heights (5-4)
Avon (8-1) @ North Ridgeville (1-8)
Perrysburg (7-2) @ Maumee (6-3)
*Maumee has a shot at a
playoff berth with a win and some help.
Interesting game facts:
-
Columbian faces
Norwalk who is coached by Chris McFarland, a TC alum and former coach for the Tornadoes.
-
Coach Steve
Gilbert is Columbian’s all time leading coach in wins with 137. Gilbert was
137-44 as the head coach at TC. Coach
Colatruglio is 30-5 in his three year tenure thus far.
-
It would take
Colatruglio 14 years of consistent winning at this pace for him to tie
Gilbert’s mark.
Norwalk Quick Info:
-
Norwalk is on a
two-game losing streak, including a 24-0 loss last weekend against Willard
(4-5). However, don’t be fooled, the Truckers still have talented players.
-
These players
include:
-
WR Damius
Peacock (9 Reception TDs)
-
WR Michael Finch (7 Reception TDs and leads
the team in receiving yardage),
-
RB Breck Turner
(who has over 900 yards and 14 rushing TDs)
-
QB Jake
Fetherolf (21 TDs and is among the areas leaders in yards per game at near 230)
-
Norwalk has the
2nd best Scoring Offense in the NOL.
-
Norwalk has the
3rd best Scoring Defense in the NOL.
Last 10 games vs TC:
02: TC 41-7
03: TC 55-6
04: TC 45-8
05: TC 48-9
06: TC 48-3
07: TC 41-14
08: TC 49-0
09: TC 35-7
10: TC 49-7
11: TC 34-7
Current Streak: TC has won 19 in a row. (They have won the last 10 by a combined score
of 445-68)
Tiffin Calvert Quick Info:
-
The Senecas
control their own destiny.
-
With a victory
over Hopewell-Loudon they are in the playoffs.
-
1st round opponents: Delphos St John'S 24%, St Paul (Norwalk) 21%, Mc
Comb 20%, Leipsic 19%, St Joseph Central Catholic (Fremont) 15%
-
Teams to root
for tonight: Seneca East (Attica), Mohawk (Sycamore), Minster, Western Reserve
(Collins), Cory-Rawson (Rawson)
-
With a loss
tonight, 95% chance of playoff berth.
-
With a win
tonight, 100% chance of playoff berth. (16% chance home game)
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